Fed 2030 GHG Emission Reduction Target (NDC)

Policy Description

The Australian Government implemented an economy-wide target in 2015 to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions by 26-28% below 2005 levels by 2030, as part of Australia’s Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) under the Paris Agreement. In 2015, the Climate Change Authority (CCA) recommended a more ambitious 45-63% emissions reduction below 2005 levels by 2030.

InfluenceMap Query

GHG Emission Reduction Target

Policy Status

Active: NDC reconfirmed in 2021

Lobbying Overview

  • Of the evidence collected on corporate and industry lobbying on Australia’s 2030 GHG target from 2015-2021, there are significant more instances of lobbying to weaken the policy than strengthen it.
  • While only a small proportion of evidence actively opposed the target, InfluenceMap found 24 cases of entities supporting a weaker GHG target, advocating exemptions for EITE industries, and/or actively lobbying against the Labor Government’s more ambitious proposal of 45% emissions reductions by 2030. For example, the Business Council of Australia labelled Labor’s 45% GHG target “economy wrecking” in 2018.
  • There were 20 instances of support for the current target of 26-28%, with a further 18 instances of support for a more ambitious 2030 target.
  • Just one organization – Carbon Market Institute – appears to have supported a federal GHG target in line with CCA recommendations.

Evidence Profile


Policy Progress

In December 2020, Australia re-communicated its 2015 NDC as part of the "ratchet mechanism" under the Paris Agreement. Australia failed to increase its 2030 ambition beyond the original target of 26-28% The new NDC states: "This target is a floor on Australia's ambition. Australia is aiming to overachieve…". However, Australia's 2030 GHG target remains misaligned with the Paris Agreement and the advice of the Climate Change Authority, and has been categorized as "Insufficient" by Climate Action Tracker in line with 2°C to 3°C warming scenarios.

* in face of calls for increasing the ambition of the target.

Entities Engaged on Policy

The table below lists the entities tracked by InfluenceMap which have publicly engaged with the policy. InfluenceMap tracks around 300 companies and 150 industry associations globally. Each entity links back to the entities’ full InfluenceMap profile, where the evidence of its engagement can be found.

Influencemap Performance BandOrganizationEngagement Intensity
D+BHP41Metals & MiningOceania
DIncitec Pivot15ChemicalsOceania
D-Glencore International28Metals & MiningEurope
C-Origin Energy40EnergyOceania
C-Business Council of Australia48All SectorsOceania
E+Minerals Council of Australia (MCA)46Metals & MiningOceania
E+Australian Chamber of Commerce & Industry19All SectorsOceania
CAustralian Industry Group (Ai Group)53All SectorsOceania
E-NSW Minerals Council26Metals & MiningOceania